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  • How does birth rate vary by country?

    It depends on both the level of fertility and the age structure of the population. Description: The map displayed here shows how Birth rate varies by country. The shade of the country corresponds to the magnitude of the indicator. The darker the shade, the higher the value.

Empowerment of Women

Women's Education The level of education in a society – of women in particular – is one of the most important predictors for the number of children families have. Before I am looking at the data and the empirical evidence in the research literature that establishes why increasing education is leading to a declining number of children per woman we should ask why and how exactly women's education is linked to the choice about children. We should look at the theory. Women's Education – Theory The choice for having a child is a question of opportunity costs and education changes them Much of the theoretical work in recent decades on how families decide how many children they want rests on the models of the economist Gary Becker.6His framework models the demand for children in the way the demand for other goods in life are modeled, the demand for children is tied to the ‘price’ of a child. Price, in this framework, is thought of as a much broader concept then just the monetary costs

Women’s Labor Force Participation

The increasing labor force participation of women is a second aspect of women's rising empowerment in society and this change too tends to lead to a decline of the number of children that women have. This change is so closely linked to the rising education of women discussed before that it is indeed impossible to separate from that. A substantial p

Increasing Well Being and Status of Children

Higher child mortality causes higher fertility rates Rapid population growth has been a temporary phenomenon in countries around the world. Rapid population growth starts when the health of the population improves and the mortality rate in a population decreases while the birth rate stays as high as before. Rapid population growth then comes to an end when after some time the birth rate follows the decline of the mortality rate. The model of the demographic transition formalizes this relationship between mortality, fertility, and population gro

Increasing Prosperity and Structural Transformation of The Economy

The following plot shows the close relation between the income level (measured by GDP per capita) and the total fertility rate. Shown are not just country averages of the fertility rate and income, the visualization is also showing the within-country inequality. Each population is split into 5 quintiles, from the poorest 20% to the richest 20%. Unf

Culture and Norms

The change of fertility are a prime example for changing social norms. In many places around the world the practice of having more than 5, 6, 7, or 8 children, which was the norm for millennia, was replaced by the norm of having 2 children or fewer. We have explored socio-economic and technological changes that contributed to the declining rate of

Religion and Fertility

Many religious teachings are asking the believers to have a large number of children. The Christian Bible for example teaches to “be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth and subdue it”.43 This visualization shows the children per woman plotted against the share of children that die in the first 5 years of life. Each country here is colored acco

Family Planning

Family planning refers to all active efforts to choose the number of children a woman or family wants. While the changes discussed before changed the incentives for having a larger or smaller number of children, family planning is focussed on the decision making and implementation of that decision on the personal level. Family planning involves the

Contraception

Women’s empowerment and the increased status of children reduce the number of children that parents want. But a goal of lower fertility is irrelevant if there are no means to achieve it. Methods of contraception give parents the chance to get the actual fertility closer to their desired fertility. Today there is a range of methods of contraception

Coercive Policy Interventions

How important was China's one-child policy? A common claim—and one originated by the Chinese Government—is that China’s one-child policy has prevented approximately 400 million Chinese births. The view of many has been that this policy shaped a population age structure that contributed to economic growth (through the effect of the “demographic dividend”) and even contributed to global efforts to address climate change. But was the policy necessary to drive down fertility? But is it really? The chart shows fertility in China since 1945

Fertility Is First Falling with Development – and Then Rising with Development

We have already seen that as a country develops – child mortality declines and incomes grow – the fertility declines rapidly. The demographers Mikko Myrskylä, Hans-Peter Kohler & Francesco Billari studied what happens at very high levels of development. To measure development they relied on the Human Development Index– a measure published by the UN

Top 20 Countries by Total Fertility Rate in Europe  1950

Top 20 Countries by Total Fertility Rate in Europe 1950

Country Comparison: Total Fertility Rate in Europe 2022

Country Comparison: Total Fertility Rate in Europe 2022

Will the Fertility Rates in Europe Rise Again?

Will the Fertility Rates in Europe Rise Again?

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